Irish 2000 Guineas – Twitter type preview
Most of the best racing is on the weekends, which is a pain because I am at my busiest with family life then and cannot devote the time to looking at the cards. So I mainly bet during the week. I am sufficiently self-absorbed to have noticed that this post will be the On Wishes and Horses 100th blog post so whilst I was planning to do a “How we should Reform Parliament” post I have put that on ice to let you know that I have the 2000 at the Curragh down to three colts, purely on account of the heavy going and miling propensity. They are:–
Delegator again, although he should not be overly inconvenienced by heavy ground, he has never travelled to race before and I think he had the hardest race of those to line up so far this season. I think he may well place but I am not overly confident of a win.
Mastercraftsman, he can improve on his effort at Newmarket and should go on the ground. He has Murtagh in the saddle and I do not imagine he was given a hard time when his chance was gone three weeks ago. Possible winner, very likely to place.
Rayeni, unraced this season and a little to find on ratings with the other two. He is by Indian Ridge, a sire whose progeny usually go well on this going so providing he makes the anticipated improvement between his 2yo days and this afternoon we might expect him to be up there at the business end. As his trainer also trains the English Guineas winner we can be sure he knows what he has and what he needs to beat. In fact he said in the Racing Post today that this colt is being called up to replace Arazan who was the intended runner but has missed work due to a temperature. Oxx accepts Rayeni will have to improve but agrees he will go on the ground – do not underestimate the importance of this factor!
I also looked at the Temple Stakes a 5f Group 2 sprint I used to enjoy at Sandown on the Brigadier Gerard Stakes evening racecard which has been rehoused at Haydock – why I don’t know. I always thought it perfect at Esher. Anyway, that gripe aside, they also have heavy ground there which will suit Reverence very well. This old fella is probably operating somewhere below his prime now but the trainer Eric Alston says they “have never really had him better”. I can also be tempted by Captain Gerrard who may be sharper now having not quite seen out 6f at York last week. In truth though, as you can never rule out the Nicholls runners (there are two) and the filly Look Busy will be fine with the ground as will the 3yo Total Gallery it will have to be a no bet race.
I want to go on into the Greyhound Derby semis too but time is against me so I will settle for saying a win double on T2 looks good to me. Fear Zafonic has the draw one nearer the rail than last time at 9.25 and although we can’t guarantee a clean run from 2 he did so well from 3 the last thrice I am happy to go with him. In the 9.40 I like Lister’s other contender Farloe Reason who runs as fast as his kennel mate. So it’s a Trap 2, Charlie Lister win double for me 🙂
Good luck to all!