St Leger Preview

As there are so few in the field for tomorrow’s oldest classic race I can indulge myself by listing them in market order.

Kite Wood – nice horse, as Lester would say, but they are concerned about the ground for him and I would agree with them. A furlong further than he went at Newbury on fast ground might be his undoing.

ChangingoftheGuard  – as I type the AOB runner is joint favourite with Kite Wood.  Not keen on this son of Montjeu personally but money may talk… 

Monitor Closely – don’t forget to do just that with Changingoftheguard’s price!  Of this Oasis Dream’s colts chances I am not entirely convinced and I don’t think the trainer is either.  Supplemented at a cost of £45,000 at the 5 day stage, one gets the feeling that although the owner has readily coughed up, the trainer would not have been so hasty.

Father Time – I respect Henry’s runners wherever, whenever they run but the stable has said they are concerned about the ground.  On a line of form through the non-runner who headed the ante-post market, Age of Aquarius, it would be a foolish punter who dismissed his chances entirely.  Available at 5/1 now.

Mourayan – another who would like a softer playing field.  He should get this new trip alright, but the concern about fast going should temper too much enthusiasm.

Mastery – I have got a liking for this one.  The only one who has his ground and not acres to find on the principals but a bit, granted.  Simon Crisford, Godolphin’s racing manager, says he has a good each-way chance and although he has now stolen MY thunder I will agree 😉  When I began this he was available with at least one firm at 20/1, now a best-priced 14/1.   I think there will be a lot of e/w money on this tomorrow so I will be after backing it now!!!

Above Average – this Hills runner is probably below the average ability needed to win this race.

Von Jawlensky – who?

My main interests are in Mastery, Kite Wood and Father Time.  I will back Mastery e/w tonight and sleep on the rest. 

I presume that the last horse Von Jawlensky will make the pace so they won’t dawdle which won’t benefit Monitor Closely.  Both the Ballydoyle’s entrants are by Montjeu who often like a bit of juice, this doesn’t mean they won’t go on the ground (remember Hurricane Run) but I couldn’t have it tomorrow.

The great Nijinsky, our last Triple Crown winner

The great Nijinsky, our last Triple Crown winner

Posted on September 11, 2009, in Horse racing, News, The Sport of Kings and Hobby of Paupers and tagged , , . Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: